Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.626469e-04 0.000187 0.000212 0.000240 0.000270 0.000302 0.000337
2024-12-29 1.251641e-04 0.000160 0.000199 0.000244 0.000296 0.000351 0.000416
2025-01-05 9.955730e-05 0.000139 0.000184 0.000240 0.000305 0.000377 0.000464
2025-01-12 8.047974e-05 0.000122 0.000172 0.000236 0.000312 0.000399 0.000504
2025-01-19 6.250411e-05 0.000104 0.000156 0.000225 0.000309 0.000408 0.000529
2025-01-26 5.197601e-05 0.000094 0.000149 0.000223 0.000317 0.000428 0.000567
2025-02-02 4.397869e-05 0.000086 0.000144 0.000223 0.000326 0.000449 0.000606
2025-02-09 3.684428e-05 0.000078 0.000138 0.000222 0.000333 0.000468 0.000641
2025-02-16 3.294482e-05 0.000075 0.000138 0.000228 0.000349 0.000497 0.000688
2025-02-23 3.229360e-05 0.000077 0.000145 0.000244 0.000377 0.000542 0.000755
2025-03-02 2.824697e-05 0.000073 0.000142 0.000246 0.000388 0.000565 0.000796
2025-03-09 2.486678e-05 0.000069 0.000141 0.000250 0.000400 0.000589 0.000838
2025-03-16 1.773229e-05 0.000059 0.000129 0.000241 0.000399 0.000603 0.000873
2025-03-23 1.371740e-05 0.000053 0.000126 0.000245 0.000416 0.000639 0.000939
2025-03-30 9.516215e-06 0.000046 0.000118 0.000241 0.000421 0.000660 0.000984
2025-04-06 6.321908e-06 0.000039 0.000111 0.000236 0.000426 0.000680 0.001028
2025-04-13 3.442619e-06 0.000032 0.000100 0.000225 0.000420 0.000685 0.001053
2025-04-20 2.076026e-06 0.000028 0.000095 0.000224 0.000427 0.000709 0.001101
2025-04-27 1.206964e-06 0.000024 0.000091 0.000224 0.000437 0.000735 0.001153
2025-05-04 5.915819e-07 0.000021 0.000087 0.000223 0.000445 0.000758 0.001201
2025-05-11 3.427900e-07 0.000020 0.000087 0.000229 0.000463 0.000796 0.001269
2025-05-18 3.102909e-07 0.000021 0.000093 0.000245 0.000497 0.000855 0.001366
2025-05-25 1.256227e-07 0.000019 0.000091 0.000247 0.000510 0.000886 0.001425